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ATP Total Games

KXATPGTOTAL · Sports
1,958 events2,176 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026
Cheap contracts here resolved well above their price — historically underpriced.
Contracts averaging 15¢ resolved YES 51.8% of the time (k=155).
Mid-priced contracts here resolved well below their price — buyers historically overpaid.
Contracts averaging 50¢ resolved YES 36.6% of the time (k=741).
“Sure things” here underdelivered — favorites resolved below their price.
Contracts averaging 92¢ resolved YES 85.2% of the time (k=509).

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close
Market underpricesMarket overprices
How often it actually happened
What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail
1–9¢49.0% actually happened
avg price 4.2%45 events51 snapshots
10–19¢56.1% actually happened
avg price 14.0%39 events41 snapshots
20–29¢51.3% actually happened
avg price 23.3%71 events76 snapshots
30–39¢36.0% actually happened
avg price 34.9%97 events100 snapshots
40–49¢32.2% actually happened
avg price 45.3%261 events273 snapshots
50–59¢36.7% actually happened
avg price 53.4%283 events297 snapshots
60–69¢48.6% actually happened
avg price 63.8%100 events105 snapshots
70–79¢61.0% actually happened
avg price 74.7%102 events105 snapshots
80–89¢68.5% actually happened
avg price 82.6%87 events89 snapshots
90–99¢93.6% actually happened
avg price 98.0%320 events482 snapshots