Challenger ATP

KXATPCHALLENGERMATCH · Sports

4,923 events4,994 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026

This market has been well calibrated — prices roughly matched what happened.

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close

Market underpricesMarket overprices

How often it actually happened

What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail

1–9¢9.3% actually happened

avg price 6.2%216 events216 snapshots

10–19¢20.3% actually happened

avg price 14.7%423 events423 snapshots

20–29¢27.7% actually happened

avg price 24.6%516 events516 snapshots

30–39¢34.1% actually happened

avg price 34.8%552 events552 snapshots

40–49¢46.4% actually happened

avg price 44.4%542 events545 snapshots

50–59¢51.9% actually happened

avg price 54.6%483 events547 snapshots

60–69¢62.5% actually happened

avg price 64.4%574 events574 snapshots

70–79¢72.2% actually happened

avg price 74.6%514 events514 snapshots

80–89¢76.6% actually happened

avg price 84.2%460 events461 snapshots

90–99¢89.1% actually happened

avg price 93.7%304 events304 snapshots

Price bandAvg priceActually happenedEventsSnapshots

1–9¢6.2%9.3%216216

10–19¢14.7%20.3%423423

20–29¢24.6%27.7%516516

30–39¢34.8%34.1%552552

40–49¢44.4%46.4%542545

50–59¢54.6%51.9%483547

60–69¢64.4%62.5%574574

70–79¢74.6%72.2%514514

80–89¢84.2%76.6%460461

90–99¢93.7%89.1%304304