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Challenger ATP

KXATPCHALLENGERMATCH · Sports
4,923 events4,994 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026
This market has been well calibrated — prices roughly matched what happened.

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close
Market underpricesMarket overprices
How often it actually happened
What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail
1–9¢9.3% actually happened
avg price 6.2%216 events216 snapshots
10–19¢20.3% actually happened
avg price 14.7%423 events423 snapshots
20–29¢27.7% actually happened
avg price 24.6%516 events516 snapshots
30–39¢34.1% actually happened
avg price 34.8%552 events552 snapshots
40–49¢46.4% actually happened
avg price 44.4%542 events545 snapshots
50–59¢51.9% actually happened
avg price 54.6%483 events547 snapshots
60–69¢62.5% actually happened
avg price 64.4%574 events574 snapshots
70–79¢72.2% actually happened
avg price 74.6%514 events514 snapshots
80–89¢76.6% actually happened
avg price 84.2%460 events461 snapshots
90–99¢89.1% actually happened
avg price 93.7%304 events304 snapshots