AFL Game

KXAFLGAME · Sports

316 events323 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026

Mid-priced contracts here resolved well below their price — buyers historically overpaid.

Contracts averaging 50¢ resolved YES 43.2% of the time (k=31).

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close

Market underpricesMarket overprices

How often it actually happened

What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail

1–9¢8.6% actually happened

avg price 3.3%35 events35 snapshots

10–19¢15.4% actually happened

avg price 13.8%13 events13 snapshots

20–29¢0.0% actually happened

avg price 23.6%10 events10 snapshots

30–39¢0.0% actually happened

avg price 33.4%7 events7 snapshots

40–49¢55.6% actually happened

avg price 45.8%8 events9 snapshots

50–59¢30.8% actually happened

avg price 53.2%9 events13 snapshots

60–69¢87.5% actually happened

avg price 63.6%7 events8 snapshots

70–79¢91.7% actually happened

avg price 74.6%11 events12 snapshots

80–89¢100.0% actually happened

avg price 85.1%7 events7 snapshots

90–99¢89.1% actually happened

avg price 96.2%46 events46 snapshots

Price bandAvg priceActually happenedEventsSnapshots

1–9¢3.3%8.6%3535

10–19¢13.8%15.4%1313

20–29¢23.6%0.0%1010

30–39¢33.4%0.0%77

40–49¢45.8%55.6%89

50–59¢53.2%30.8%913

60–69¢63.6%87.5%78

70–79¢74.6%91.7%1112

80–89¢85.1%100.0%77

90–99¢96.2%89.1%4646